Climate Science

Overview

The science is clear, taking bold climate leadership today not only safeguards the viability of your business operations in the long run but also enhances resilience, reputation, and competitive advantage. On the other hand, delaying action will only worsen the challenges and limit opportunities for future generations.

In this section, you will learn climate science facts from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the global scientific body that assesses climate change science and provides a robust foundation for informed decision-making.

The climate is changing

While people in their 50s to 70s today have mostly experienced the effects of a slow but steady rise in global temperatures, their children and grandchildren are born into a world of rapidly rising temperatures. A warmer world caused by the release of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions mean more extreme weather events and potentially devastating impacts and risks.

Emissions 1900 to date

Extract from ‘Adverse impacts from human-caused climate change will continue to intensify’.1

According to the IPCC, limiting global warming to 1.5°C means that GHG emissions must decrease by 43% by 2030 and 84% by 2050.

Climate change – the impact on business

Climate change impacts all types of business. Although the direct link may not be immediately evident in your business sector, the effects of climate change have far-reaching implications.

Take the IT industry as an example, the risks of climate change to core business may be less apparent, but they experience it though increased energy consumption and costs impacting operations and profitability; the risks to physical infrastructure, such as data centres, due to extreme weather events and rising sea levels; disrupted supply chains leading to delays and increased costs for essential components; or shifts in customer expectations towards sustainability that can influence buying decisions and brand reputation.

Take a look at the IPCC’s sustained climate change impacts, and consider how these could impact your organisation.

Water availability and food production impacts; cities, settlements and infrastructure impactsHealth and well-being impacts; biodiversity and ecosystems impactsKey to observed impacts

Extract from ‘Adverse impacts from human-caused climate change will continue to intensify’. Source: IPCC, 2023. Synthesis Report of the Sixth Assessment Report, Figure SPM.1, p.7

Rising to the challenge

The world must rapidly shift away from unabated burning fossil fuels — the number one cause of the climate crisis.

As a board director, you can ask the question about whether climate change is a material business issue for your business and explore pathways for your organisation to transition away from fossil fuel use within its operations and across its value chain. You can also focus on delivering climate action through mitigation and adaptation.

  • Climate mitigation refers to reducing or preventing GHG emissions (for example by switching to renewable energy sources, innovative agricultural practices, and reducing deforestation)
  • Climate adaptation aims to decrease vulnerability of human and natural systems to the risks and impacts of climate change (through, for example, improving infrastructure, enhancing ecosystem services, and implementing early warning systems).

There are multiple approaches that your organisation can take to mitigate and adapt to climate change. The figure below offers some examples of climate responses, their cost in the short-term and their feasibility to limiting global warming to 1.5C:

Nest donut chart showing potential areas for emissions reductions
Size represents the potential emissions reductions
Bar chart showing initial costs of implementing drawdown emission reduction solutionsBar chart showing lifetime costs and new revenues from implementing drawdown emission reduction solutions

Broader context

In 2020, the global temperature surpassed pre-industrial levels by 1.1C

If global temperatures continue to rise, they could trigger nine 'climate tipping points,' which could cause climate change to spiral sharply and irreversibly beyond our control. At 3.2° C, Miami, Dhaka, Shanghai, Hong Kong and one hundred other cities would be flooded.

The nine ‘climate tipping points’ will be caused by ice sheet melting, ocean circulation changes and living ecosystems shifts.

Carbon brief tipping points - open in a new window

On the other hand, international cooperation and technological advances are fostering positive tipping points that can help us solve the climate crisis:

A positive tipping point happens when a zero-carbon solution advances to a point where it outcompetes the existing high-carbon solution. Once reached, self-reinforcing ’feedback loops’ (such as learning by doing effects, economies of scale, the emergence of complementary technologies, and the spread of new social norms) drive exponential growth in the adoption of the new solution and a rapid decline of the old.

For example, green ammonia, electric vehicles and plant-based proteins are already causing a breakthrough effect.

How to take action

Invite your organisation’s board to reflect on the following questions:

  1. Is our organisation taking action to phase out fossil fuels use, both in its operations and across the value chain?

  2. Does our organisation measure its full carbon footprint across its operations and across the value chain?

  3. Has our organisation set science-based targets, both long-term and in the interim, to reduce its carbon emissions?

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Resouces

More information on positive tipping points in ‘The Breakthrough Effect

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